Figure 3. Scenario Analysis Results Our scenario analysis highlights both transition risks that could impact our mining operations at SDJ, TBR, TRA and the Singapore and Indonesia o"ces. These risks severity varies across mine sites, o"ce locations and time horizons, with longer-term impacts expected to be more pronounced. The results underscore the need for adaptive strategies to enhance resilience to a changing climate risk profile. Category Risk & Opportunity Definition Scenario Time Geo Energy Group Transition Climate-Related Risks Policy & Legal Mandatory Carbon Pricing A risk that government-imposed carbon taxes or emissions trading systems increase operating costs and reduce profitability for coal-related activities APS 2030 2050 STEPS 2030 2050 Climate change-related litigation and investigations A risk of legal actions, lawsuits, or regulatory investigations targeting companies for their environmental impacts, disclosures, or contributions to climate change APS 2030 2050 STEPS 2030 2050 Policy-driven decrease in coal demand A risk that national or international climate policies, such as renewable targets, coal phase-out plans, or emissions caps, significantly reduce demand for coal APS 2030 2050 STEPS 2030 2050 Market Strained access to coal finance A risk that banks, investors, and insurers restrict funding for coal operations due to ESG mandates, climate commitments, or sector exclusion policies. APS 2030 2050 STEPS 2030 2050 Structural shift in global demand toward renewables, electrification, and low carbon technologies A risk that falling renewable energy costs and growing clean-energy competitiveness erode coal’s market share and economic viability APS 2030 2050 STEPS 2030 2050 Technology Low-carbon transport and machinery for mining operations and logistics A risk that emerging low-carbon equipment and transport standards make existing dieselbased machinery costly or obsolete APS 2030 2050 STEPS 2030 2050 Methane recovery and utilisation opportunities A risk that tightening methane regulations require investment in methane capture or utilisation systems, a!ecting operational costs APS 2030 2050 STEPS 2030 2050 Energy e"ciency in mining operations A risk that increasingly stringent energye"ciency standards require operational upgrades and capital investment APS 2030 2050 STEPS 2030 2050 Reputation Stigmatisation of the coal industry and stakeholder exclusion A risk that negative public perception, investor pressure, and stakeholder expectations reduce opportunities for coal companies to operate or partner. APS 2030 2050 STEPS 2030 2050 24 GEO ENERGY | SUSTAINABILITY REPORT 2025
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